Chaka cha 2022 chikhoza kukhala chaka chachikulu kwa opanga ndalama zaukadaulo ndikuthana ndi zovuta ziwiri zazikulu zamakampani: kusowa kwa ogwira ntchito komanso kusakhazikika kwazinthu zogulitsira.Getty Images
Mwezi uliwonse Chris Kuehl, International Economic Analyst for Manufacturers and Manufacturers Association.Pulezidenti ndi Purezidenti wa Armada Corporate Intelligence, wokhala ku Lawrence, Kan., Mogwirizana ndi Morris, Nelson & Associates, Leavenworth, Kan., Kuyambitsa Armada Strategic Intelligence System ( ASIS) .M’menemo, Kuehl ndi gulu lake akufotokoza mbali zosiyanasiyana za kupanga zomwe zimakhudza bizinesi yopanga zitsulo. kubwezeredwa kokhazikika, ngakhale kumasokonekera, pomwe maunyolo operekera padziko lonse lapansi adachira.Ntchito zina zopangira zitsulo zikuyenda bwino, pomwe zina sizili zamphamvu momwe zingakhalire - bola ngati ali ndi zida ndi anthu omwe amafunikira kuti ntchitoyi ichitike ( onani Chithunzi 1).
"[Ife tikuwona] kupitilira kwamphamvu kwanthawi yayitali m'misika yomwe timapereka, komanso chidwi chofuna ntchito zathu kuchokera kumakampani ambiri," atero a Bob Kamphuis, Wapampando/CEO/President of Contracts Manufacturing giant MEC. kuyankhulana kotala ndi osunga ndalama mu Novembala. ”Izi sichifukwa chakusowa kwa zipangizo za MEC, koma chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa makasitomala a MEC.
Kamphuis adawonjezeranso kuti kupereka zida za MEC ku Mayville, Wisconsin komanso theka lakum'mawa kwa US ndi chain chain - kuphatikiza zopangira zopangira - "kwadzetsa zosokoneza pang'ono.Izi zikutanthauza kuti makasitomala athu akatha kuwonjezera tidzakhala okonzeka tikagulitsa. ”
Monga imodzi mwa makampani akuluakulu opanga makontrakitala ku US (ndipo mobwerezabwereza adayikidwa pa #1 pamndandanda wa FABRICATOR's FAB 40 Top Manufacturers), MEC imatumikira pafupifupi makampani onse omwe akulosera za ASIS za mwezi ndi mwezi za Kuehl, ndipo zambiri zamalondazi zikhoza kukhala zokhudzana ndi zochitika za MEC.
Kupanga zitsulo za US ndi makampani opanga zinthu zomwe zakhala zikugwirizana ndi kusokonezeka kwa chain chain.Makampaniwa akupitiriza kukoka, akufunitsitsa kuchotsa.Kukoka kumeneku kungakhale kolimba ndi kuwonjezereka kwa ndalama zowonongeka, chifukwa cha malamulo omwe aperekedwa posachedwapa ku Washington.Global supply. maunyolo ayenera kugwira, ndipo mpaka atatha, kutsika kwa mitengo kudzapitirirabe.Poganizira zonsezi, 2022 idzakhala chaka cha mwayi.
Lipoti la ASIS limachokera ku pulogalamu ya St. Louis Fed's Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) ya chithunzi chachikulu, deta yopanga mafakitale yomwe imapanga zonse zokhazikika komanso zosakhalitsa. Gawo loyamba lazitsulo lomwe limapereka zipangizo kwa opanga zitsulo, zomwe zimapereka magawo ku mafakitale osiyanasiyana.
Opanga okha amakhalapo m'magulu osiyanasiyana omwe amagwiritsidwa ntchito ndi boma kugawa opanga, kuphatikizapo zitsulo zopangidwa ndi zitsulo, gulu lophatikizana lomwe limaphatikizapo zomangamanga ndi zomangamanga;kupanga boiler, tanki ndi zotengera;ndi omwe amapereka chithandizo kumadera ena.wopanga mgwirizano.Lipoti la ASIS silimakhudza madera onse omwe amapanga zitsulo - palibe lipoti - koma limakhudza malo ogulitsa mapepala ambiri opangidwa ndi mapepala, mbale ndi chubu m'dziko. pa zomwe makampani angakumane nazo mu 2022.
Malinga ndi lipoti la Okutobala la ASIS (lochokera pa data ya Seputembala), opanga ali pamsika wabwino kwambiri kuposa kupanga zonse.Makina (kuphatikiza zida zaulimi), zakuthambo, ndi zinthu zopangidwa ndi zitsulo zopangidwa ndi zitsulo, makamaka, zitha kuwona kukula kwakukulu nthawi zonse. 2022-koma kukula uku kudzachitika m'malo azamalonda omwe akhudzidwa ndi kusokonekera kwa ma chain chain.
Zomwe lipotilo likuwonetsa pazopanga zamafakitale zokhazikika komanso zosakhalitsa zikuwonetsa kuwongolera uku (onani Chithunzi 2). Kuneneratu kwa ASIS ya September (kutulutsidwa mu Okutobala) kunawonetsa kuti kupanga konseko kudatsika ndi gawo loyamba la 2022, kudakhazikika, kenako idatsika ndi maperesenti ochepa pofika koyambirira kwa 2023.
Gawo loyamba lazitsulo lidzakhala ndi kukula kwakukulu mu 2022 (onani Chithunzi 3). Izi zikusonyeza kuti bizinesi ikupita patsogolo kwambiri, malinga ngati opanga ndi ena apitirize kukweza mitengo.
Chithunzi 1 Chithunzichi ndi gawo la zoneneratu zatsatanetsatane zomwe zidatulutsidwa ndi Armada's Strategic Intelligence System (ASIS) mu Novembala, zomwe zikuwonetsa zolosera zamakampani enaake. Ziwerengero ndizosiyana pang'ono. Mosasamala kanthu, malipoti a ASIS a Okutobala ndi Novembala onse amasonya ku kusakhazikika komanso mwayi mu 2022.
"Kuchokera ku chitsulo kupita ku faifi tambala, aluminiyamu, mkuwa ndi zitsulo zina zomwe zimakhudza makampani, tikuwonabe kukwera kwanthawi zonse," adatero Kuhl. tsatirani… Ogula ena adanenanso kuti akuwona kupezeka kwazinthu zabwinoko.Koma zonse, kupezeka kwapadziko lonse kumakhalabe kwamanjenje. ”
Pofika nthawi ya atolankhani, United States ndi European Union adakambirana mgwirizano watsopano womwe mitengo yazitsulo ndi aluminiyamu kuchokera ku European Union ya 25% ndi 10%, motero, idzakhala yosasinthika. Koma malinga ndi Mlembi wa Zamalonda Gina Raimondo US idzalola kuti zitsulo zopanda msonkho zibwere kuchokera ku Ulaya. Zikuwonekerabe momwe izi zidzakhudzire mitengo yamtengo wapatali pamapeto pake. posachedwa.
Pamafakitale onse omwe opanga amapereka, makampani opanga magalimoto ndi omwe amasokonekera kwambiri (onani Chithunzi 4) . Makampaniwa adatsika kwambiri m'gawo loyamba ndi lachiwiri la 2021 asanabwererenso kumapeto kwa chaka.Malingana ndi zolosera za ASIS, izi idzapitiriza kulimbikitsa m'gawo loyamba ndi lachiwiri la 2022, isanachepetsenso pambuyo pake m'chaka.Ponseponse, makampaniwa adzakhala pamalo abwino, koma adzakhala ulendo.Kusasunthika kwakukulu kumachokera ku kusowa kwa dziko lonse lapansi. ma microchips.
"Mafakitale omwe amadalira kwambiri ma chipset akuyang'anizana ndi malingaliro ofooka kwambiri," a Kuhl adalemba mu Seputembala.
Ziwerengero zosintha pamagalimoto agalimoto zikuwonetsa momwe zinthu ziliri zovuta.Zoneneratu zam'mbuyomu zinali kuti makampani opanga magalimoto azikhala okhazikika komanso kukula kochepa. kutsika pambuyo pake m'chaka, mwinamwake chifukwa cha kusagwirizana kokwanira.Apanso, imabwereranso ku ma microchips ndi zigawo zina zogulidwa.Atafika, kupanga kumayambiranso mpaka kutsekereza kutsekereza kachiwiri, kuchedwa kupanga.
Monga momwe Cool adalembera mu Seputembala, "Mawonekedwe amakampani oyendetsa ndege akuwoneka bwino kwambiri, akuthamangira koyambirira kwa 2022 ndikupitilizabe kukhala okwera chaka chonse.Ichi ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zabwino kwambiri pamakampani onse. ”
ASIS ikuneneratu kukula kwapachaka kopitilira 22% pakati pa 2020 ndi 2021-osati zodabwitsa kwambiri potengera zomwe makampani adakumana nazo kumayambiriro kwa mliriwu (onani Chithunzi 5). Pakutha kwa chaka, lipotilo likulosera kuti makampani opanga ndege adzakula ena 22%.Mbali ina ya kukula inayendetsedwa ndi kuwonjezeka kwa katundu wa ndege.Ndege za ndege zikuwonjezeranso mphamvu, makamaka ku Asia.
Gululi limaphatikizapo zida zowunikira, zida zapakhomo, ndi zida zosiyanasiyana zamagetsi zokhudzana ndi kugawa magetsi.Makampani omwe amagulitsa misika yamtunduwu amakumana ndi zofanana: pakufunika koma palibe, ndipo kupsinjika kwa inflation kumapitilirabe pamene mitengo ya zinthu ikukwera.ASIS akuneneratu kuti bizinesi idzakula. mu theka loyamba la chaka, ndiye kutsika kwambiri, ndipo makamaka lathyathyathya kumapeto kwa chaka (onani Chithunzi 6).
Monga Kuhl adalemba, "Zida zazikulu ngati ma microchips zikuwonekeratu kuti zikusowabe.Mkuwa, komabe, sunapange mitu ngati zitsulo zina, "kuwonjezera kuti mitengo yamkuwa idakwera 41% pachaka mpaka Seputembara 2021.
Gululi limaphatikizapo zida zowunikira komanso zotsekera zazitsulo zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri m'nyumba zamalonda, bizinesi yomwe ikukhudzidwa ndi zochitika zambiri zapantchito.Mwayi womanga wokhudzana ndi kupanga, zoyendera, zosungiramo zinthu ndi chisamaliro chaumoyo zili zambiri, koma madera ena omanga malonda, kuphatikiza nyumba zamaofesi, zikucheperachepera. ”Kubweranso pakumanga bizinesi kwachedwa chifukwa kutsegulanso komanso kuyambiranso ntchito kwatenga nthawi yayitali kuposa momwe amayembekezera, "Kuhl adalemba.
Chithunzi 2 Kukula kwazinthu zonse zopanga mafakitale, kuphatikiza kupanga zinthu zolimba komanso zosakhalitsa, kukuyembekezeka kukhalabe kocheperako mu 2022. Kukula kwazinthu zokhazikika, zomwe zimaphatikizapo kupanga zitsulo, zitha kupitilira kupanga zinthu zambiri.
Makampaniwa akuphatikiza kupanga zida zaulimi komanso magawo ena ambiri, ndipo pofika Seputembara 2021, kukula kwamakampani ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zodziwika bwino ku ASIS (onani Chithunzi 7)." Makampani opanga makina akuyembekezeka kupitiliza kukula kwake. njira pazifukwa zitatu, "Kuhl analemba.Choyamba, masitolo, mafakitale ndi osonkhanitsa achedwa 2020 capex, kotero tsopano akugwira ntchito.Chachiwiri, anthu ambiri amayembekezera kuti mitengo ikukwera, kotero makampani akufuna kugula makina asanafike nthawi imeneyo. Chachitatu, ndithudi. , ndiye kusowa kwa anthu ogwira ntchito komanso kukankhira makina ndi makina pakupanga, mayendedwe, mayendedwe, ndi magawo ena azachuma.
"Ndalama zowonongera paulimi zikuchulukirachulukira," adatero Kull, "pamene kufunikira kwa chakudya padziko lonse kumapangitsa kuti mafamu amalonda azikula kwambiri."
Mzere wopangira zitsulo zopangira zitsulo umasonyeza pafupifupi, pa mlingo wa kampani payekha, zomwe zimadalira kwambiri makasitomala osakaniza sitolo.Opanga ambiri samangotumikira magawo ena ambiri, koma ndi malonda ang'onoang'ono omwe ali ndi makasitomala ochepa omwe amayendetsa ndalama zambiri. Wogula wamkulu anapita kummwera, ndipo ndalama za fakitale zinafika poipa.
Zonse zikaganiziridwa, mzerewu udatsika ndi pafupifupi makampani ena onse koyambirira kwa 2020, koma osati mochuluka. Avereji idakhalabe yokhazikika pomwe masitolo ena adavutikira pomwe ena adachita bwino - kachiwiri, kutengera kusakanikirana kwamakasitomala ndi zomwe zikuchitika kuzungulira kasitomala. Supply chain.Komabe, kuyambira mu Epulo 2022, ASIS ikuyembekeza kuwona zopindulitsa zina pomwe ma voliyumu akukula (onani Chithunzi 8).
Kuehl adalongosola zamakampani mu 2022 omwe akukumana ndi kusokonekera kwa njira zogulitsira magalimoto komanso kuchepa kwakukulu kwa ma microchips ndi zinthu zina. makampani opanga zitsulo mu 2022 akuwoneka abwino kwambiri.
"Chimodzi mwazinthu zazikulu zomwe timafunikira ndikusunga ndikukulitsa antchito athu aluso kuti atithandize kuzindikira kuthekera kwathu.Tikuyembekeza kuti kupeza anthu oyenera kupitilira kukhala chinthu chofunikira kwambiri m'magawo athu ambiri Zovuta.Magulu athu a HR akugwiritsa ntchito njira zosiyanasiyana zolembetsera anthu, ndipo monga kampani tipitilizabe kuyika ndalama pakupanga makina osinthika, osinthika komanso ukadaulo. ”
MEC's Kamphuis adapereka ndemanga kwa osunga ndalama kumayambiriro kwa mwezi wa November, ndikuwonjezera kuti kampaniyo yapanga ndalama zokwana madola 40 miliyoni pamtengo wake watsopano wa 450,000-square-foot mu 2021 yokha.Hazel Park, Michigan plant.
Zochitika za MEC zikuwonetsa zochitika zazikulu zamakampani. Tsopano kuposa kale lonse, opanga amafunikira mphamvu zosinthika zomwe zimawalola kuti azikwera mofulumira ndikuyankha kukayikira.
Ukadaulo ukupitilizabe kupititsa patsogolo makampani, koma zopinga ziwiri zimapangitsa kukula kukhala kovuta: kusowa kwa ogwira ntchito komanso kugulitsa kosayembekezereka.Masitolo omwe amayenda bwino onsewa awona mwayi wopanga zinthu zambiri mu 2022 ndi kupitilira apo.
Tim Heston, Mkonzi Wamkulu ku The FABRICATOR, wakhala akuphimba makampani opanga zitsulo kuyambira 1998, akuyamba ntchito yake ndi American Welding Society's Welding Magazine. Adalowa nawo ntchito ya The FABRICATOR mu Okutobala 2007.
FABRICATOR ndi magazini yotsogola ku North America yopanga zitsulo ndi kupanga.Magaziniyi imapereka nkhani, nkhani zaukadaulo komanso mbiri yamilandu zomwe zimathandiza opanga kuti agwire ntchito yawo moyenera.FABRICATOR yakhala ikugwira ntchitoyi kuyambira 1970.
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Nthawi yotumiza: Feb-17-2022